Live answers

Questions People Actually Ask, Answered with Live Data

Each page answers one question about market risk. The first sentence gives the current number, recomputed every hour. Then the evidence, then the limits. These pages predict nothing.

The answers recompute as the indicators move, so a page you bookmark today still answers the question next quarter.

Every question we track

Is the Buffett Indicator at a Record High?

The current reading against the highest value in the full history of the series.

What Happens When the Shiller PE Goes Above 40?

Every monthly reading above 40 in the full CAPE history, and what followed.

What Happened After the Yield Curve Un-inverted?

The date the spread crossed back above zero, and the record of past un-inversions.

Has the US Stock Market Ever Been This Expensive?

Both long-run valuation yardsticks ranked against their entire recorded history.

When Were Real Interest Rates Last This High?

The last month real rates stood at or above today’s reading, from the full series.

The data behind the answers

Crash Risk Dashboard

All six indicators combined into one live risk score

Market Analogs

Why we refuse to predict: identical conditions, opposite outcomes

Methodology

Every formula, source series and threshold, documented

All answers are computed from public data for educational purposes only. Not investment advice.