Market Crash Risk Dashboard
Stocks look stretched, but growth is holding up.
2 of 3 crash warnings are on. 2 of 3 growth signals are favorable. How we score it
As of Oct 23, 2026 · UTC
What changed
Real Interest Rates
now 2.76% · was 2.84% on Oct 14 — the week to Oct 21
-0.08%
Yield Curve
now 0.31% · was 0.33% on Oct 15 — the week to Oct 22
-0.02%
Shiller PE Ratio
now 40.6 · was 40.4 in September 2026
+0.2
Screener
Every S&P 500 stock, filtered every trading day.
Build your own screen →Events
Shocks from outside the US economy, read from live charts.
All events →Charts
The readings people check most, with full history.
Buffett Indicator230%NEGATIVEShiller PE Ratio41NEGATIVEYield Curve0.31%POSITIVEUS Dollar Index (DXY)101.70WARNING
All 28 charts →Get told when the market turns
At most one email a week, and only in weeks when the crash-risk score or a big indicator actually moved.
At most one email a week, and only in weeks something actually moved. No account, one click to unsubscribe, and the address is never shared.